As my Oracle likes to remind me, it is good at picking winners of presidential elections, lousy at picking losers. Back in a blog posted in June (click on Rick Perry) I anticipated the advent into the arena crowded with Republican candidates of the Great White Tea Party Hope from Texas, Governor Rick Perry, about two months before it happened. I wrote Sarah Palin and Michelle Bachman would be out of the running several months before Palin ended her political coy ploy and quit before getting into the presidential race. I also said Michelle Bachman, going strong in June 2011, would have vanished, and I would add today that she did politically died with a “whimp-er” after New Hampshire. I also said in June 2011 that Newt Gingrich would be out of the race long before the Republican Convention held in Tampa, Florida, in early September 2012. There is still life in his “anybody but Romney” campaign in South Carolina, giving Newt Gingrich as slim victory on 21 January.
It really does not matter. I always felt Romney would be one of the last two candidates standing. But events are ever the judge of predictions. Yesterday, Governor Perry heeded Gingrich’s call to rally conservative votes against Romney by leaving the race. He endorsed the former Speaker of the House. Back in June, I predicted Perry would still be in the race with Romney and would win the nomination on a conservative surge. That was wrong.
Well, as Governor Perry famously would say, “oops!”
I have much better luck picking winners of presidential campaigns by popular vote, such as Nixon over Humphrey in 1968 by a half million votes, Nixon over McGovern in 1972, Carter over Ford (1976), Reagan over Mondale (twice, 1980 and 1984). Nevill Drury, you still owe me a spaghetti dinner in Sydney Australia, next time I am there. That was the bet. I picked H.W. Bush over Dukakis in 1988 and you believed it was impossible.
I did write in 1983 for the Rajneesh Times a forecast foreseeing Reagan as a two-term president. H.W. Bush would follow as a one-term president. After him would come a two-term democrat president in 1992. That turned out to be Bill Clinton, who went on to win a second term.
The Bush-Gore contest in 2000 generated my oracle’s most cryptic message that many of you heard on Coast to Coast AM and the Jeff Rense programs before the election. The message was, Al Gore would win over George W. Bush by 500,000 votes but I was going to be “equally right” and “equally wrong” about Gore. Well, as it turned out Gore did win by a half-million popular votes but was denied the presidency by five votes out of four in the US Supreme Court over the ballot counting dispute in Florida.
Hogueprophecy was born around that time and since then I have documented the presidential victories of G.W. Bush over John Kerry in 2004 and Barack Obama over John McCain by around 8 percent of the popular vote in 2008.
Now, when you look at this record of accomplishment of 11 and 0, there is enough to make both Democrats and Republicans angry at my predictions picking candidates they do not want in the White House. So, when I say once again what I have been forecasting since January 2009 that Barack Obama will win a second term, do not think I am saying that with prophetic bias. If the prediction upsets you, look at your own expectations and biases when judging the guy who accurately forecast Republican victories in seven out of eleven presidential contests.
Anyway, I like to take risks and I often play the “Pick the Loser” prophetic game even though I do it with mixed results. Despite Gingrich’s surge in South Carolina, other primaries are coming with more national impact. Moderate Republicans are still alive and well in the GOP. After the Super Tuesday primaries, Romney will seize the lead and never look back. Romney will be running against Obama for 2012. You can read why the stars and the economy favor Obama for re-election as well as many more details about the 2012 Presidential Election by reading Predictions for 2012.
Now to Iran…
As promised, I want to share a fascinating prophecy from the 16th-century seer, Michel Nostradamus that predicts a showdown in “Carmania” the 16th-century name for the northern coast of the Strait of Hormuz. This is the narrow passage where a third of all global oil exports pass. This is the waterway the Iranian Navy threatens to block if economic sanctions being considered by Washington DC cripples Iran’s only significant export resource. The US Navy has also warned that any attempt to close the Strait of Hormuz would cross a red alarm line and there would be military action in reaction.
So, with that said, I wish to quote a passage I wrote in early 2007 for my e-Book, Nostradamus: The War with Iran.
The holy empire will come into Germany,
The Ishmaelites will find open places:
Asses will also want Carmania,
The supporters all covered by earth.
Carmania is a Persian territory on the northern shore of the Strait of Hormuz. Since Nostradamus wrote this, nothing historically significant has taken place there until recent times. We have to keep our eyes open for the French word sainct (“holy,” or “sacred”). Nostradamus hides his blasphemies from the Church inquisitors by playing off a Gothic “s” or “ƒ” for either “s” or “f.” Just like you can turn “friend” into “fiend” Nostradamus takes swipes at the Catholic Church by hiding fainct (false) behind ƒainct (sacred). This time around the false religion is that brand of Islam worshipped by terrorists. The “false” holy or fundamentalist fanatics, like al-Qaeda’s leader, Usama bin Laden, dream of establish- ing an intolerant Caliphate across the Islamic world. It was the al-Qaeda cell in Hamburg, Germany, that financed and planned the September 11 attacks on America in 2001.
The Ishmaelites (read: the Arabs of al-Qaeda) find “open” spaces in Germany to base a war of terror on Europe and the US.
Line three shifts attention to Iran, to Carmania, the northern coast of the Strait of Hormuz where so much of the world’s oil exports pass and can be so easily cut off. The asses is Nostradamus’ general condemnation of the Islamic fundamentalists of Iran, near past and future. Their brand of fearful, grim, Saturnian Islamist ideology will land its adherents inside white shrouds of Islamic burial. It predicts also the final burial of Usama bin Laden, or Ahmadinejad, or Ayatollah Khamenei’s or any other Jihadists’ mad hateful dream of a totalitarian theocratic world Caliphate. The war with Iran will initiate the beginning of “their” ideology’s end in naval suicide attacks across the waters of the Strait of Hormuz.
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(20 January 2012)