Election 2012: can Rick Perry beat Barack Obama?

I have been making US presidential predictions since Nixon beat Humphrey in 1968. Forty-four years later and with an 11-and-0 track record my oracle begins to see the shape of potentials to come in the 12th auguring. That is, I am beginning to get a clearer understanding who will lose either in a close election or a landslide against the candidate that for years now I have already and consistently predicted will win the 2012 election.

My predictions across 44 years often do not match my personal choices pushed into the ballot box every presidential election. What I have been saying on Coast to Coast AM and writing in these blogs since early 2009 has angered many of you who lean on the right politically. Now in fairness, my predictions today will attempt to make people on both extremes of the political spectrum have an opportunity to either be angry with the messenger or look at their political attachments.

I have said over the years that the one man who could defeat incumbent President Barack Obama will not be running in 2012. The man was a credible governor of a key, and economically vibrant US state. He was a capable leader during times of natural disasters and most importantly, someone who can tango with the hard core right during Republican primaries, get nominated and then do what Richard Nixon so shrewdly did in 1968, deftly moderate his message to woo the center where most American voters, the independents, the largest block of voters, politically live. The man who can beat Obama if he ran in 2012 had one problem though: the wrong name — Bush.

Former Florida State Governor Jeb Bush has his older brother’s name. Rightly or wrongly, President George W. Bush (2001-2009) is someone most Republicans want to stuff in the bag of forgetting where they stuffed Nixon. They want to dump that history and move on to take back the White House. Thus you have to white wash your hands of an administration that was in power when America suffered its deadliest, unprotected surprise attack, wiped out a national economic surplus, ballooned the national debt at record levels spending it on ruinous military occupations and nation building projects in Iraq and Afghanistan. Meanwhile, it did little to nothing to moderate Wall Street and Banking abuses, or reform a ballooning financially baloney housing market that deflated when the Great Recession crashed in as a catastrophic punctuation to eight catastrophically mediocre years in office.

Jeb Bush is politically intuitive as well. He knows that Bush Fatigue will keep him out of a presidential run. The US Senate is his next move and I predict that is as far as he will go up the political ladder this life.

Democratic and Republican Parties thrive on nourishing the short-term memories of the voting public. The Obama re-election campaign would waste a big portion of the billion dollars they will collect if they dump it in ads going down a sinkhole of Bush blame.

This Recession is now Obama’s Great Recession, as are the two economically ruinous military adventures in Iraq and Afghanistan. Obama now adds a new war in Libya and indirect military involvement to come in Syria. (Yes, that is coming, albeit under the auspices of a UN effort.)

Obama will have to own these wars and economic challenges if he wants to own success in solving them. Between now and the November 2012 presidential election night, he will take America out of Iraq and mostly out of Afghanistan as I predicted years ago.

The Libyan Civil war will go on, with indirect US logistical support well into 2013. That is despite today’s kafuffle of a constitutional dispute seeing both Democrats and Republican congressional legislators suing the president for ignoring the upcoming 60-day limit to prosecuting his war powers in Libya without congressional approval.

None of this will actually threaten Obama’s bid for a second term more than the rise of a new Ronald Reagan from Texas. If a Bush from Texas might have soured Jeb Bush’s future as president of the United States, a tall, God loving and charismatic Texan getting into the presidential political arena in the near future is the GOP’s Great White Hope against Obama in 2012.

Texas Governor Rick Perry has the best chance of beating the president after Jeb Bush. His social conservative merits are unquestioned, so the extreme right is mollified by his anti-abortion, anti-gay (do not ask do not tell), evangelical Christian beliefs that support “intelligent design” creationism as a viable scientific theory.

Perry’s long time marriage with his childhood sweetheart is morally solid. There is no Newt Gingrich talking up religious right themes while walking out on three marriages with three sinful and adulterous affairs. There is no Romney-care to explain or apologize for. Perry is pro-tax reform and pro-states rights to the point of thinking out loud about secession and he has publicly Goddamned the government he would captain if elected to Washington. He is pro-Life, pro-business with a big Texan “B”, pro-drilling baby drill and he is not a Mormon made of wooden personality wearing magic underwear. I am sorry, my Mormon readers, I must express a hard religious-political reality in the Grand Old Party. Enough core Republican primary voters view you as a cult that if they had a red-blooded, red-state governing, fire-breathing evangelical Christian to choose, the blue-state Mormon moderate Republican is out.

Perry is dashingly handsome too. Sorry Newt and your supporters. Ideas no matter how smart and compelling do not get a fat guy into the White House since President Taft a century ago.

Perry is pretty and he has the stature and avuncular Ameri-CAN machismo that all the best ideas wrapped in a corpulent, piggish body do not sell.

Heck! Perry even looks a bit like Ronald Reagan.

Perry has economic bragging rights Obama cannot yet match.

He runs a state that has weathered the Great Recession quite handily with respectable economic booms in the Austin Texas region, a growing housing market and a state economy that is on the move into the black — the black of Texas Tea, that is, black gold.

Texan success is based on something climate-illogically dubious: a fossil fuel industry set to take a fossil fuel-addicted global civilization down the toilet when the climate cascades out of control in the 2020s. That will not be a problem for Perry in the short term. Forget science for faith. Gather the votes and short-term memories of enough Republican voters for Perry in the primaries. A majoirity will believe as he believes that there is no climate change requiring a complete rethinking of business acumen. And anyway, many will endorse Perry’s rationale that whatever is going on with the climate is less important than you getting a job. You getting back to work no matter what the cost of sustaining our civilization or your children’s future on this fever wracked world must come first before we hug the trees.

If Perry enters the Republican race, he will quickly end the trajectory of other contenders. The GOP and the Democrats may have their designated nominees running for president a year before they are officially endorsed by the Democratic and Republican Conventions in the summer of 2012. Gone goes Palin, Gingrich, Bachman. Romney will spar with Perry through the primaries but he will lose his Republican moderate northern verses right wing fire-breathing southern state primary battles early on and the Republican show will be over by the Super Tuesday primary early in the year.

Then come the national elections.

If Perry runs, the presidential elections of 2012 will look more like 1860. States rights over Federal rights return in the national debate with the Federal side of the argument taken up not by a Caucasian emancipator of African Americans but an African American President.

Obama’s mysterious karmic relationship with Abraham Lincoln will see history repeat itself with a national election that will split states between Perry and Obama along the Mason-Dixon secession line. The Northern states go with Obama, just like Lincoln, only in 1860, southern states stayed out of the election preparing for secession.

In 2012, Perry will be the first major US Governor running of president who openly mused about secession since 625,000 Americans died in a civil war to prevent the breakup of the United States. During the 150th anniversary of year-two of the Civil War that saw the bloody battles of Second Bull Run, Antietam and Fredericksburg, Perry will win all the former Confederate states of that conflict, plus a few Border States like Missouri and Kentucky. The swing states will be in the Midwest and far West. A shadow of the civil war will cast itself on the political map of blue and red states in 2012 but the real danger of secession’s return is waiting in the 2020s.

Obama in 2012, like Lincoln waging the Civil War, will turn the ballot tide first in the West if he is to win re-election.

Perry is the only Republican after Jeb Bush who might make this election close enough to gain a disputed victory for the GOP, but he is less able than the Bush that cannot run. Still, I see might in the last sentence does not mean victory in the White House for the Right.

I predict Perry will lose because he is too extreme.

Obama will be a two-term president.

John Hogue
(15 June 2011)

Prophecy Post Statement
Today enjoys one of the longest lasting lunar eclipses in years, best seen in night skies over the Middle East, over Syria, over places erupting in political volcanic violence. In a year of 12 great global catastrophes, one per month, the next blog will examine which new natural disaster becomes the apocalyptic climate-changing flavor for June. Is it the Chilean volcanic eruption sending an ash cloud ring around the Southern Hemisphere, shutting down air flights in and out of New Zealand and Australia? Will it be Arizona’s largest forest-brush fire in history? Join my free newsletter if you are not yet a member and you will be the first to know about my report on disasters in June. Also, starting in the next blog comes part three of my Tornado Diaries and an assessment of my predictions for 2011 as we approach the halfway point in the critical year in human history.

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  1. Lea
    Posted 9 May 2012 at 9:02 am | Permalink

    Geez, Rick Perry didn’t even do well in the Republican primaries. Your prediction was way off base concerning Mr Perry. Perhaps you are correct on President Obama winning and your score will be 12 and 0.

    The mind in us loves to latch onto things that break a pattern. When one accurately predicts every presidential winner by popular vote since 1968, the mind gets lulled by the consistency. Though when I make a rare bad prediction, such as Perry, notice how the mind fixates on it. I later explained the Perry “Oops” in a blog similarly entitled “Oops”. Did you notice an article posted 20 January 2012? (http://www.hogueprophecy.com/2012/01/perry-oops-nostradamus-and-the-strait-of-hormuz/). In it, I predicted that Romney would win the Republican nomination and never look back after Super Tuesday at any threats from competitors? Romney assured his advance to Tampa Bay Convention as the Republican nominee in late April when his competitors, Santorum and Gingrich finally threw in the towel, four months later. Romney still will have to pick up the delegates into June, but I hold to that prediction. He will be the Republican Party’s “Biggest Loser” in November elections against Obama.

  2. Susan Kovalinsky
    Posted 26 January 2012 at 11:56 am | Permalink

    Well, Perry is out. Gingrich is overtaking Romney. So much for predictions….

    Romney will be the Republican candidate. Gingrich may squeak a win in Florida — or not — but by Super Tuesday elections. It is over. But really, we’re talking about the losers. Waving the banner of the losing side.

  3. RJ
    Posted 25 December 2011 at 11:04 pm | Permalink

    Mr. Hogue–happen in to hear you on Coast to Coast with George Nouri and you conveniently did not mention your prediction of Rick Perry easily surpassing the rest of the GOP field and running against Obama.

    Yes you picked Obama to win but your prediction of Perry rising was not mention. If I were you I wouldn’t publicize on Coast how off your prediction was concerning Perry as we will find out in Iowa very soon.

  4. RJ
    Posted 11 December 2011 at 9:58 pm | Permalink

    Well Mr. Hogue it’s 3 weeks to Iowa and Rick Perry is still far behind Newt and Mitt. And even behind Ron Paul. Most put Perry far behind in 4th place there. If he loses in Iowa, he’s a goner. Even with the money he’s spending there, he hasn’t caught on that much.

    So if you end up correct then color me amazed BECAUSE right now it looks like it’s not going to happen.

  5. RJ
    Posted 26 November 2011 at 4:20 am | Permalink

    Looks like your prediction will be wrong. Perry has self-destructed and languishes in the polls. Therefore he will NOT eclipse the rest of the field and then defeat Romney.

    It looks like it’s Romney all the way for the nomination with an outside shot for Newt.

    Perry seems finished.

    It is too early to conclude this. One must remember the other Texan who was a lousy debater but managed a good political campaign. I wouldn’t call this thing over until we get to Super Tuesday primary elections after the S. Carolina primary.

  6. the fountain
    Posted 2 November 2011 at 6:50 am | Permalink

    You forgot someone! The other leo running, you know the one with the fanatical following? The one that is the only one running on any side who is saying what they are saying on Occupy Wall Street. The one with incredible astrology currently and through to 2013. The one that uses the word Revolution in his campaign? Uh, duh, Ron Paul!

    Ron Paul will not win the nomination of the Republican Party. I mention the Republican Leos with a chance to go after the Leo in the White House.

  7. Posted 27 October 2011 at 9:22 pm | Permalink

    I do not understand how we even have time to worry about promoting the confederate flag when there are more important issues like creating jobs. Its not Rick Perry’s fault the issue came up – its the people who want the confederate flag recognized. How can those people push their issue in Perry’s face when there are more important matters like housing the homeless, medical programs for children, and creating jobs. I think that the Sons of the Confederate Veterans need to back down and let our government focus on main issues.

  8. James Glen
    Posted 21 September 2011 at 2:30 am | Permalink

    Greeting Mr. Hogue,

    Do you see peace coming anytime soon for the Israelis and Palestinians ? I fear a great major conflict will rise between many nations unless peace takes hold.

    Thank you

    This “push” generated by the Palestinians is a great opportunity rife with great dangers. The Peace Process has been an institutionalized joke ever since Arafat missed the opportunity to accept an agreement back in 1999 with the then Prime Minister and now Secretary of Defense, Ehud Barat. (It is interesting to me that the American president and Ehud both have the Arabic and Hebrew versions of Baraka (blessing) in their names. Ehud “Barat” (Baraka) and Barack Obama. May they be blessed with peace. The question really to me is this. The Arabs and the Israelis have the collective unconscious rage to fight one more big war. I would hope that they can channel that energy to doing something equally dangerous but perhaps less deadly, advance this process to the next and difficult step, a two-state solution. That is my hope come this Yom Kippur holiday (Avenu Makaenu…!)

  9. Posted 2 September 2011 at 8:27 pm | Permalink

    The late Kannan Gurukkal was a popular and pious astrologer of our village.
    He was convinced that his daughter would become a doctor.
    But she had to discontinue her studies at the college level as she was in a love affairs with a police man.She was married off to him.After 25 years her husband died(while in service).
    So,she got a job on compassionate ground.
    She was appointed in the health department.
    Her first posting was in a dispensary.
    After this,her father told me:”She did not become a doctor.But she has been posted in a hospital.My prediction is wrong.But my hints are correct!”
    Similarly I predicted that Hillary would be the 44th US President.But she became the State Secretary under the 44th US President!!
    The US Presidential election will be conducted on November 6,2012.
    In this context,I remember my aborted political prediction.
    On March 3,2007 the “ASIAN TRIBUNE” carried my prediction:–
    Hillary Clinton 44th US President – predicts Indian Numerologist
    Sat, 2007-03-03 02:39 — admin
    • News
    Kannur, Kerala,, 03 March, (Asiantribune.com): Indian Numerologist predicts that Hillary Rodham Clinton would be the 44th President of the United States of America. According to the Indian Numerologist analysis, the next U.S. Presidential election is on November 4, 2008. On that day, numerologists predict that signs would remain favorable for her. Besides, the next election is to choose the 44th U.S. President (4 + 4 = 8), Hillary will be in her 62nd year (6 + 2 = 8), to be more precise, on that day pf the election, Hillary will be 61 years and 10 days old (6 + 1 + 1 + 0 = 8). Indian numerologists M.K. Damodaran confidentially predicts that numbers 4 and 8 being highly influential for Hillary Rodham Clinton and she will be elected as the 44th US President.
    It is seen that generally number 8 persons are influenced by number 4 also. So, this will be an additional luck for Hillary in the November 4, 2008 U.S. Presidential election.
    Amateur numerologists M.K. Damodaran of Kannur District, Kerala State, India, confidentially predicts that numbers 4 and 8 being highly influential for Hillary, and she will be elected as the 44th US President.
    Damodaran further writes, “It is seen that the year 2008 is very crucial for Hillary and Bill Clinton.
    Given below the analysis and prediction regarding Hillary Rodham Clinton’s prospects in the forthcoming US Presidential race/
    ”I am herewith submitting a detailed write-up regarding the chance of Hillary Rodham Clinton in the Nov. 4, 2008 U.S. Presidential election . I humbly request to examine this.
    Now that Hillary Rodham Clinton is hoping to be nominated as the candidate for the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election, it is immensely interesting to numerologically analyze her prospect.
    Now, let us examine the influence of numbers 4 and 8 in Hillary’s life.
    She was born on October 26, 1947. Her birth number is 8 (2 + 6 = 8) It is seen that number 8 has a strong influence on Hillary. To begin with, she was officially nominated to run for New York Senate seat on May 17, 2000 (1 + 7 = 8) After winning the election, she became a Member of the 107th Senate (1 + 0 + 7 = 8).
    The next U.S. Presidential election is on November 4, 2008. On that day, Hillary will be in her 62nd year (6 + 2 = 8). To be more precise, she will be 61 years and 10 days old (6 + 1 + 1 + 0 = 8). Besides, the next election is to choose the 44th U.S. President (4 + 4 = 8).
    It is seen that, generally number 8 persons are influenced by number 4 also. So, this will be an additional luck for Hillary in the November 4, 2008 U.S. Presidential election.
    In addition to that, it is submitted that her ‘name number’ (occult number) is 67 which adds up to 4.
    Name number is arrived at by adding together the value of each alphabet of the name. English alphabets are placed into 8 groups and each letter in a particular group assigned a particular value. This is discussed below.
    No. of groups Letters Value of each letter
    1) a, i, j, q, y – 1
    2) b, k, r – 2
    3) c, g, l, s – 3
    4) d, m, t – 4
    5) e, h, n, x – 5
    6) u, v, w – 6
    7) o, z – 7
    8) f, p – 8
    Now, let us find out the name number of Hillary Rodham Clinton.
    Hillary = H + i +l + l + a + r + y
    = 5 + 1 + 3 + 3 + 1 + 2 + 1 = 16
    Rodham = R + o + d + h + a + m
    = 2 + 7 + 4 + 5 + 1 + 4 = 23
    Clinton = C + l + i + n + t + o + n
    = 3 + 3 + 1 + 5 + 4 + 7 + 5 = 28
    Thus Hillary Rodham Clinton = 16 + 23 + 28
    = 67 (6 + 7 = 13 Further adding, 1 + 3 = 4)
    While discussing the influence of numbers on Hillary, it is quite interesting to note the influence of number 1 on Bill Clinton. Bill Clinton was born on August 19, 1946. His birth number is 1 (1 + 9 = 10, 1 + 0 = 1). Further, his name number is 37 which adds up to 1 (3 + 7 = 10, 1 + 0 = 1). So, Bill Clinton is literally ‘numero uno’. Now, see the strong influence of number 1 on Bill Clinton.
    1) He was elected U.S. President at the age of 46 which adds up to 1 (4 + 6 = 10, 1 + 0 = 1)
    2) On May 28, 1997 the U.S. Supreme Court unanimously ruled that “Paula Jones sexual discrimination suit against Clinton can proceed while he is in office” (2 + 8 = 10, 1 + 0 = 1).
    3) On January 10, 1998 Clinton deposed in the Paula Jones case (1 + 0 = 1).
    4) Kenneth Starr submitted his enquiry report in Monica Lewinsky case on September 10, 1998 (1 + 0 = 1)
    5) Papers in Paula Jones case released on October 19, 1998 (1+9 = 10, 1 + 0 = 1)
    6) Congressional hearing on impeachment began on November 19, 1998.
    7) There were 37 members in the House Judiciary Committee (3 + 7 = 10, 1 + 0=1)
    8) ‘One’ member belonging to the Republican Party voted along with Democrats.
    9) The Senate voted on October 28, 1998 on an impeachment trial plan that called Monica Lewinsky to testify (2 + 8 = 10, 1 + 0 = 1).
    10) The House of Representatives voted to impeach Clinton on December 19, 1998 (1 + 9 = 10, 1 + 0 = 1)
    11) Questioning of Monica Lewinsky started on February 1, 1999.
    12) Clinton was acquitted on impeachment charges only because 10 Republicans cross-voted in his favour ( 1 + 0 = 1).
    13) Clinton was the first President to visit Gaza Strip.
    The year 2008 adds up to 1 (2 + 0 + 0 + 8 = 10, 1 + 0 = 1). So, the year is
    very crucial to Bill Clinton.
    Hence, it is seen that the year 2008 is very crucial for Hillary and Bill Clinton.
    So, coming back to Hillary, numbers 4 and 8 being highly influential for Hillary, she will be elected 44th U.S. President in the election to be held on November 4, 2008, on which day Hillary will be 61 years and 10 days old (6 + 1 + 1 + 0 = 8).
    M.K. Damodaran writes in conclusion, “As an amateur numerologist passionately researching in numerology for the last 18 years, my findings/predictions have been widely published (The Indian Express, The Hindu, The Times of India and The Asian Tribune etc.). The following internationally interesting findings/predictions made by me were reported.
    1) Accident death of Princess Diana.
    2) Violent death of former Afghan President Dr. Najibullah.
    3) Bill Clinton influenced by number 1.
    4) That number 13 was lucky for Vajpayee and that he would return as Prime Minister after the election in 1999.
    5) Electoral victory of George W. Bush in the November 7, 2000 U.S. Presidential election.
    6) That Bush will lose out to Saddam and that the former will be the ultimate loser in the Iraq affair.
    (However, the prediction that Bush will not come to power for the second time was proved incorrect)
    – Asian Tribune –
    Frankly speaking,at the time of writing the article I did not seriously

    consider the importance of Barack Obama.

    Actually I did not try to study about him.

    Later,I understood that ,as per numerology,the then US Presidential

    election was much luckier for Barack Obama.
    The birth number of Barack Obama is 4.
    He was born on August 4,1961.
    He was elected US President in the November 4,2008 Presidential election.
    His marriage was at the age of 31(3+1=4).
    He is the 4th youngest US President.
    Numbers 1 and 4:-Numbers 1 and 4 are numerological twins.
    So, a person with birth number 1 is influenced by numbers 1 and 4.
    Similarly, a number 4 person is influenced by number 1 also.
    His Zodiacal Sign:- Obama was born in the Zodiacal Sign of Leo.
    The Sign is represented by the planet Sun. Sun represents number 1.
    Hence, influence of numbers 1 and 4 are much stronger in the case of Obama-by virtue of his birth number and Zodiacal Sign.
    He was elected US President in 2008 which represents 1.

    Similarly,the year 2011 is strongly significant for Obama in various ways.
    Obama and Michelle:-
    Astrologically and numerologically,there are harmonious vibrations between Obama and wife Michelle.
    Michelle was born on january 17,1964.
    Hence her birth number is 8.
    Her occult number is 44.
    Surprisingly,the fate number of Obama and Michelle is same.
    Their fate number is 29.
    It is obtained by adding together the numbers of the date,month and year of birth.
    Briefly,Obama and Michelle carry the same fate number and occult number.

  10. Bryant
    Posted 24 August 2011 at 4:18 pm | Permalink

    Obama defeats Perry in 2012 and the Republicans lose the House!

  11. timothybianco
    Posted 23 August 2011 at 12:00 pm | Permalink

    Hogue If your right about your track record than you have to be right about Obama winning. Most Presidents get re-elected. When Carter won in 76′ the economy was good and in 1980 it was bad so he lost. In 89′ when Daddy Bush won the economy was good than he lost in 92′ because the economy was bad. In 2008 when Obama won the economy was bad so most people don’t blame Obama for the economy. Plus, he has: more money than the republicans, the country is more diverse (liberal, hispancis, women voters, peoplel on government aide and the tea party and the republicans taking over the house actually has helped Obama or will. And, even Bush’s advisors don’t like Perry! And, Obama got Osama and brought down Kadaffy. And, is winding down the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. The economy is just bad but it’s more to do with factors beyond a President control like: greed by corportations, mechanization and globlization. And, Obama helped bail out and save the auto industry when the republicans wouldn’t and tha’ts a major factor!

  12. sunny
    Posted 19 August 2011 at 3:22 pm | Permalink

    Okay. I am sure you will come back to this prediction in 2012 and say that you predicted that the election was close and that Perry might win. Actually, I will bet a whole ton of enchiladas that Perry will be the next President. I am psychic as well and see it as a prophetic fulfillment instead of vision. Sometimes for me visions change over time. However, this is almost cast in stone. You can ask those who talked to me two years ago. I predicted Perry would beat Obama. And I bet it won’t even be close. Let’s see who is correct??? However, the bad news, I don’t things will get much better with Perry. Also, I see the Congress in the tank for the Republicans, whether good or bad. So even if Obama is reelected he will be have very little power if this is to occur. I think even with a change of leadership, the halcyon days of the US are gone.

    • Kim
      Posted 14 October 2011 at 10:38 am | Permalink

      How can you see Perry being president? Perry is losing in his primary right now. It looks like Cain or Romney will be the nominate. I will vote for neither. Perry is my guy, but I don’t see him winning.

      It is very very early in this race. Don’t jump to any conclusions just yet. Also, I did not say Perry would win, I said he had the best chance of all those who would run and lose against Barack Obama in 2012. The man who could beat Obama in 2012 will not run. It is former Florida Governor Jeb Bush. He won’t run because he holds the wrong name to drop in our Occupied Wall Street times.

      • Kim
        Posted 14 October 2011 at 11:09 pm | Permalink

        Hi, my reply was to sunny. Although I would say that Perry isn’t that extreme and outrageous as you say in your post. He seems like a very easy-going guy. It was a shock to me because I held the same view as you. He thought he was an in-your-face, blow-you-out of-the-water type guy. Right now, he is losing to a inexperienced guy with a big mouth. If Perry was the guy described in your post, Cain would not be standing right now. He doesn’t seem to fit the “fire-breathing” mold.

  13. kent
    Posted 19 August 2011 at 6:42 am | Permalink

    John, Obama has a major problem. His taken for granted the minority vote. The minority are hurting more than any other part of the population. The gas price is taking a huge junk out of their budget. Jobs are so few that most can’t find work. The minority population unemployment rate is +16%. Will they turn to the republican in the next election? NO. They might just stay home in the next election could really hurt Obama re-election plans. His bus trip and political speeches are not being received with the same as they were in 2008 and he didn’t go to any highly populated minority location to give his hope and change speech. His pan for the economy is more of the same. Building bridges but someone needs to tell him they take too long to get down to the local level and permits take time to be issue. He is like Nero’s playing his lyre and singing while the city burned. But after the fire Nero open his own wallet and help pay to get Rome back to normal. If Obama does do the same as Nero with the minority population is not going to go to the poll to help him. Maxine Waters said it best if he does help us we will not help him. Building infrastructure will not turn this failing economy around. What will? Obama has spent his wad and now he has nothing left to help the economy. Raising tax will have the same effect that the 1938 tax increase had on the economy. Do you know what tax that was? The social security tax. I asked my father several years ago what was the worst part of the depression and he said the worst was 1938. So you might say he has very little to do to get this economy moving again and neither can the congress help. Unless the private sector starts spending and the price of gas does decrease in price this economy will not recover and if it does recover neither will Obama. The first Bush president was told it is the ECONOMY STUPID and someone should tell DumBo that it is the economy stupid. Sorry about the DumBo comment but everytime I see him he reminds me of the elephant with the big ears. It is too bad he doesn’t use them for what they were made for. Listening.

  14. Sherlyn Lampe
    Posted 17 August 2011 at 9:47 pm | Permalink

    Rick Perry is a dangerous man. He participated in the 2007 Bilderberger meeting, has promoted the Mexico-Canada super highway, and has attempted to sell turnpikes and other government owned public utilities to foreign entities. He is a right wing pretender under the control of the international elite. One of the ways they maintain control is to set up candidates on both sides so no matter who is elected he is theirs. Both Perry and Obama are ventriloquist dummies with their mouths operated by someone else. I am amazed that John totally misses the subterfuge and thinks Obama is another Lincoln.

  15. Richard Weaving
    Posted 17 August 2011 at 4:16 pm | Permalink

    Hi John,

    Looks like you are right about Perry being labeled as extremist! The real extremist, The Far Left Politicians and the Far Left Liberal Media are already spewing their Lies and B.S.

    The Obama campaign and its liberal backers have begun to build the narrative that Perry is a reckless and radical figure, including one cable and radio host who cut a Perry sound bite to make it seem that Perry had said Obama was “a dark cloud” hanging over the American economy instead of what he did say, which was that uncertainty and debt were dark clouds hanging over the economy.

    The president and his team are questioning the motives and patriotism of their Republican opponents, not allowing that there is a real difference of opinion. It is a good indication of how far apart the Obama Democrats and conservative Republicans are these days when the president says that dissent from his economic worldview is not patriotic. This is partly just the scorched earth campaigning that one expects from an embattled incumbent, but it is also part of a bargaining strategy for the months ahead.

    Once again, Liberal Lie’s and twisting of words and the truth. All done to maintain Liberal Political Power.

    Liberalism Is A Disease !

      All isms are a dis-ease, Richard. Republicanism, Liberalism. The Right the Left both twist the story. What is a disease of the programmed mind is that one side it will support out of bias and call it correct, while it will not support the same abuse of the truth coming from that which the mind decides to reject. By the way, is there a youtube tape of Perry out there to support your contention that he was misquoted? Please send me the link.
  16. Ray
    Posted 17 August 2011 at 10:43 am | Permalink

    My oracle says it will be a GOP win with Palin leading the way.

  17. klk
    Posted 16 August 2011 at 7:56 pm | Permalink

    People are so filled with hate, Always fooled by outer apperances they have eyes but cannot see blinded by there passions and false knowledge. The Oracle said it right Obama is the chosen one like it or not. Let the prophesy be fullfiled it is written since the begining of time and so mote it be!

      I could be wrong this time. When you’re batting 11 and 0, the odds of getting the next one wrong are exponential, especially in such an unstable, volatile political climate I expect for the 2012 elections. And then there’s the dynamic of a passive-aggressive president campaigning against his psychological opposite, an alpha male braggart. Obama could get more aloof and patronizing as Perry gets hotter under the collar and more outrageous.
  18. Posted 14 August 2011 at 10:04 pm | Permalink

    Thank you again J. Hogue for your thoughts. I agree with your assessment of Rick Perry. Especially true and probably the reason Obama will win in 2012 is your last sentence, “Perry will lose because he is too extreme.” Perry scares me EXTREMELY. I’ve looked at his eyes when he “scans” his audience. Those eyeballs ooze lust for power and Megalomania, Texas style and Texas size! I don’t trust Perry’s preachy holier-than thou tenor where he seems to believe that God is his chief adviser. It never has been that simple. Kind of spooky if you ask me. Thanks again! ML Squier

  19. Andrew
    Posted 13 August 2011 at 5:37 am | Permalink

    Obama will win and the Red states will push for secession with Perry leading the effort. The US will split someday in the not to distant future. Many people from the Red states will immigrate to the blue states to escape the repressive conditions, intolerance and religious extremism.
    Some blue enclaves will try to secede from the Red states and declare themselves a sovereign county with help and support from the North/Blue states.

    The breakup of the US union of states is a subject a number of accurate seers have visualized. One might say that in the cycle of unconscious living we went through a cycle of addressing the Union between 1776 and 1860 as “the United States are“. Then after a bloody civil war to retain the union we began addressing it every since as “the United States is.” In the following article, (copy this in your browser to see it: hogueprophecy.com/2010/12/is-to-are-the-future-of-the-american-states/), I wrote about a new cycle coming in the next thirty years that will return us to a more loose federal association.

  20. Mayfly
    Posted 12 August 2011 at 12:10 pm | Permalink

    George W. Bush ignored intelligence briefings (“bin Laden determined to attack America”) and after 9/11 invaded Iraq–which had nothing to do with the attack on us, but everything to do with Iraq’s oil reserves.

    The Iraq war expenses were carried “off the books”–they didn’t appear in the US budget. When Obama was elected, he had the Iraq war costs entered as a budget item in the name of transparency. That’s where that big debt increase comes from.

    • Sinclair
      Posted 18 August 2011 at 5:48 pm | Permalink

      Really? What do you expect a President, any President to do – “bin Laden determined to attack America”? What should be done – shut the country down and wait for an attack that may never come? What if bin Laden had publicized that he was going to attack the US on August 11, 2001; all the airports are shut down, there are no ships coming into port, no goods are leaving or being delivered, many businesses are closed, and guess what – no attack. How long do you keep the US shut down for the ravings of a mad man who is the very definition of the word terrorist; to keep you afraid, living in fear for what MIGHT happen. Hindsight is always 20/20, it’s so easy to blame Bush now for 9/11 – why not blame Clinton for 9/11 as well, since the first WTC bombing occurred during his term, and he had a chance to kill bin Laden and didn’t avail himself of it. You are a sad excuse for an American Mayfly if you are willing to give all that power to terrorists.

  21. Justin
    Posted 10 August 2011 at 2:23 pm | Permalink

    It will be very interesting and if it were not for some astrological aspects/other things, I believe that are going on with other canidates I would say you are right Obama could/would win. I think there will be a twist that will surprise even the basis of your article, though well written. Higher then the solar system into the celestrial star map comes the clincher. That is were the years of experience breaks and surprises even the most gifted. I am not betting on Obama.
    Justin/Justice Thinks

      Uranus squared Pluto is an aspect that we will pass in and out of for the next few years. It will be in play for the 2012 campaigns and elections. Obama will be a two term president, says my oracle. One must pause and reflect upon this because the medium “John Hogue” is not and has never been a Democrat. I have an 11 and 0 track record on calling presidential popular vote elections. That doesn’t mean, though, that Obama may go down in another Bush vs Gore electoral decision. That is something my oracle doesn’t read. But still, events in September and November this year will be sudden and unexpected in how they will redefine world history. Uranus, the God of revolution, revolves! To the president or candidate that can be redefined by how it spins goes the presidency.
  22. Xavier
    Posted 8 August 2011 at 3:42 pm | Permalink

    Correction. One president did win re-election on more than one occasion with unemployment much higher than 7.1. It was in double digits in fact. Franklin D. Roosvelt.

  23. Anon Y Mouse
    Posted 7 August 2011 at 2:15 am | Permalink

    A few corrections to the misinformation and rhetoric against Obama above –

    Bush’s wars in Iraq and Afghanistan — $1.5 Tril­lion
    Bush’s Tax Cuts in 2001 and 2003 — $1.8 Tril­lion
    Bush’s Non-Defense Dis­cre­tionary spend­ing — $608 Bil­lion
    Bush’s Tarp and Bailouts — $224 Bil­lion
    Bush’s Medicare Drug Poli­cies — $180 Bil­lion
    Bush’s Stim­u­lus — $773 Bil­lion

    Bush’s Total New Spending Jan 2001 to Jan 2009 — $5.03 Tril­lion.

    Obama’s Stimulus — $711 Billion
    Obama’s Non-Defense Discretionary spending — $278 Billion
    Obama’s Stimulus Tax-Cuts — $425 Billion
    Obama’s Health Reform — $152 Billion

    Obama’s savings in Defense — $126 Billion

    Obama’s Net New Spending Jan 2009 to Jan 2017 — $1.44 Trillion
    (assuming he does not get into more wars and assuming he does not give away more tax breaks)

    I did not make those numbers up. Copy and paste this link from the New York Times into your browser: nytimes.com/2011/07/24/opinion/sunday/24sun4.html?_r=2″.

    The debt ceiling which was increased was not for Obama. It was increased because Congress already spent or has already approved spending $2.4 trillion until the end of 2012. Arguing against raising the debt ceiling is like running up your credit card and then refusing to pay when the bill arrives.

    Obama does not decide how to spend. Congress does. The Republican Congress approved the budget which contained the deficit which requires the spending, but the Republican Congress does not want Obama to pay for their spending. Then the Republican Congress misinforms the public that somehow Obama spent all that money without asking the Republican Congress.

    S&P downgraded US debt just as Experian/Equifax/TransUnion will downgrade your credit score if you refuse to pay your debt when the bill arrives. The Republican Congress’ attitude of refusing to pay when the bill arrives is solely responsible for the fall from AAA rating. You lose credibility in the eyes of your lenders when you make such a huge fuss about paying your bills.

    If you have assets, your lenders always know that you can repay your debt. In fact, your credit score goes up if you take on debt and repay it eventually and always on time. The downgrade is about the fuss you make when it comes time to pay, not about the amount of debt itself. If the Republican Congress had quietly approved the debt ceiling increase just as it has done for decades, the downgrade would not have happened at all. The US have enough assets and could easily repay its debts once the economy revives, assuming it does not get into fake wars based on lies again.

    Rick Perry’s government in Texas gets oil money. Without the oil money, Texas would be bankrupt too. Texan oil money is like Saudi oil money. No matter how messed up the rulers may be, Rick Perry in Texas and King Abdullah in Saudi Arabia will look good in the eyes of the greedy and the ignorant because the numbers look good.

    • Sinclair
      Posted 18 August 2011 at 5:49 pm | Permalink

      And who was in charge of both houses of Congress from 2007-2011 Anon?

  24. Rick Nelson
    Posted 2 August 2011 at 7:15 pm | Permalink

    I think Obama is extreme in his philosophy and has to migrate to the center because of Republicans in the House. Perry’s economic success in Texas is a key point that he can hammer Obama with. I think the young people are not as sold on Obama because they are among the unemployed. Perry would take every state McCain took and should get Florida, North Carolina, Virginia and Indiana back in the GOP column. If the GOP can get Ohio or Pennsylvania then they win the election with Perry.” It’s all about the economy stupid.” Famous words of James Carville.

  25. anon
    Posted 23 July 2011 at 9:00 pm | Permalink


    Perry extreme?

    No president has been more extreme and radical than Obama. FACTS: 9.2% unemployment. Added 5 Trillion in Debt. Passed Obama Care (with is unconstitutional) with no bipartisan support. Dismantled the military. Went to a church where his minister said G.D. America. AND he wants to change America.

    Do you really believe America wants 4 more years of this?? Go on with your nonsense…

    People need JOBS!!!! Rick Perry resume is Number #1 when America goes to the Polls in 2012! (you sounds like a scared liberal). Oh by the way, Obama’s approval ratings are at 44% (not even bin laden can help that).

    Another Fact: NO president has ever won re-election with unemployment greater than 7.1%… There will be no way Obama can even come close to lowering unemployment by 2012.

    Nice Try… (for the readers that don’t know any better)..

    Perry Defeats Obama in a Landslide!!!

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